I am currently a post-doctoral researcher at the
University of Chicago Booth School of Business where I am studying the behaviour of deregulated electricity market participants.
I will be receiving a PhD in Operations Management from the Rotman School of Management at the University of Toronto. This follows an MSc in Computer Science also at the University of Toronto.
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RESEARCH INTERESTS:
Pricing and Contract Theory in Operations Management
- Pricing of capacitated resources
- Pricing and channel management
Structural Estimation of Dynamic Decision Models
- Applications in deregulated electricity markets
- Applications in corporate finance
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PAPERS:
"Optimal Price-Lead Time Menus for Queueing Systems with Customer Choice: Priorities, Pooling and Strategic Delay" with Philipp Afèche
Abstract Updated Version Available Soon
(invited for second round review at Management Science)
"When Gray Markets Have Silver Linings: All-Unit Discounts, Gray Markets and Channel Management" with Ming Hu and Mengze Shi
Abstract Download from SSRN
(invited for third round review at MSOM)
"Corporate Payout Policy, Cash Savings, and The Cost of Consistency: Evidence from a Structural Estimation" with Hamed Mahmudi
Abstract Full Text
(invited for third-round review at Financial Management)
"Ascending Auctions for Markets with Structured Externalities" with Craig Boutilier
Abstract Full Text Available on Request.
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ABSTRACTS:
"Optimal Price-Lead Time Menus for Queueing Systems with Customer Choice: Priorities, Pooling and Strategic Delay" with Philipp Afèche Updated Version Available Soon
Abstract: We study the optimal design of price-lead time menus to maximize revenues from heterogeneous time-
sensitive customers with private information about their price and time-sensitivity. Our findings are as
follows. 1. Delay cost minimization and revenue maximization may be incompatible: the lead time menu
attained by a work conserving strict priority policy minimizes the delay cost but need not be optimal under
revenue maximization. 2. The optimal lead time menu may deviate in two fundamentally different ways
from the conditionally optimal menu given a work conserving strict priority policy. (i) It may be optimal to
pool multiple different customer types into a single service class. (ii) It may be optimal to artificially inflate
the lead times of certain service classes through the insertion of strategic delay. We identify conditions
for pooling and strategic delay to be optimal depending on the capacity level and market parameters. In
particular, we find that the virtual delay costs play an important role in determining the structure of the
optimal lead time menu, and that the functional form of these delay costs differ depending on which subset
of customers are admitted. 3. Under the conditionally optimal menu given a work conserving strict priority
policy, it may be optimal at high capacity levels to strategically exclude low value customers which would
otherwise be served with strategic delay under the optimal menu.
"When Gray Markets Have Silver Linings: All-Unit Discounts, Gray Markets and Channel Management" with Ming Hu and Mengze Shi Download from SSRN
Abstract: Gray markets are unauthorized channels of distribution for a supplier's authentic products. This paper studies a distribution channel that consists of a supplier who offers all-unit quantity discounts for batch orders to enjoy cost savings, and a reseller who may divert some goods to the gray markets. Our analysis shows the impact of gray markets depends on the reseller's batch inventory holding cost. When the reseller's batch inventory holding cost is high, diversion to the gray markets improves the channel performance by enabling the reseller to make batch orders. Since the reseller's order costs decrease through quantity discounts, diversion to the gray markets reduces the resale price and expands sales to the authorized channel. On the other hand, when the reseller's batch inventory holding cost is low, the reseller would make the batch orders even without the gray markets. In this case the diversion to the gray markets may improve the reseller's performance by shortening the order cycles and reducing the inventory holding costs. Interestingly, since diversion to the gray markets decreases the reseller's peak inventory volume, the reseller has the reduced incentive to push its inventory and, consequently, the resale price rises and sales volume decreases in the authorized channel. These results underscore the importance of firms integrating inventory and pricing decisions when managing distribution channels affected by gray markets.
"Corporate Payout Policy, Cash Savings, and The Cost of Consistency: Evidence from a Structural Estimation" with Hamed Mahmudi Full Text
Abstract: We develop a dynamic model in which firms choose their optimal financing, investment, dividends, and cash holdings while facing costly equity issuance, debt and capital adjustments costs, and taxed interest on cash balances. We solve the model numerically to estimate the volatility of payout and optimal level of cash holdings. Comparing these results with a large sample of U.S. firms from 1988 to 2007, we show that on average firms excessively smooth their payout while maintaining larger than optimal levels of cash (excess cash) on their balance sheets. We further extend the base-case model to capture the effect of a manager, who perceives a cost to cutting payout. Applying simulated method of moments (SMM) to the dynamic model we infer the magnitude of this downward adjustment cost. In particular, we find that a managerial preference for payout smoothing leads to increased accumulation of excess cash. Estimated payout consistency cost is larger for firms which are larger, have more dispersed analyst forecasts, which compensate their CEOs with low pay-performance packages, have larger institutional holdings, and pay larger fractions of their payout as dividends. Applying SMM to a recent subsample of the data (2002-2006), we show that the parameter of managerial preference for consistent payout continues to account for a similar equity value loss of approximately 7%.
"Ascending Auctions for Markets with Structured Externalities" with Craig Boutilier
Full Text Available on Request.
Abstract: While ascending auctions have found considerable popularity applied to combinatorial allocation problems,
recent proposals for ascending auctions which account for externalities have placed signicant demands on
bidding agents by requiring that they accurately value and communicate bids on the full outcome space
(including the allocations awarded to competitors). This requirement is unreasonable in most practical set-
tings. We identify a large class of problems, including wireless networks with interference, where externalities
are characterized by aggregate resource usage. We propose a more general allocation model in which such
problems can be naturally encoded. We adapt recent ascending auctions for combinatorial allocations to
this model and show that, given myopic bidders, our mechanism optimizes social welfare. We illustrate its
performance in a multi-hop wireless network domain with interference.
PREVIOUS PROJECTS:
"Ascending Auctions for Markets With Structured Externalities and Applications to Routing in Wireless Networks" Master's Thesis Supervised by Professor Craig Boutilier
Abstract Full Text
"Stochastic Local Search for Scheduling for Minimum Total Tardiness"
BSc Honour's Thesis Supervised by Holger Hoos
Abstract Full Text (AI 2003 version)
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ABSTRACTS:
"Ascending Auctions for Markets With Structured Externalities and Applications to Routing in Wireless Networks" Master's Thesis Supervised by Professor Craig Boutilier Full Text
Abstract: This thesis addresses the problem of finding socially optimal routing
allocations in wireless networks with selfish users. We
model the problem as a resource allocation problem in a market
with externalities. Finding an optimal solution to the underlying resource
allocation problem requires solving a mathematical program with
non-convex constraints which is difficult to approach using traditional
distributed price-mediated allocation mechanisms.
We consider centralized ascending auction mechanisms as robust
allocation techniques. A general allocation model is developed which
can be used to encode a wide variety of markets including
markets with externalities. We show that an ascending auction over
this model is approximately optimal given myopic bidding.
We encode a model of a wireless
network with the general allocation model and develop an auction with
a compact bidding space. Optimality results are supported
by empirical results showing the mechanism
finds good allocations and, relative to a VCG auction, generates higher auction revenues.
"Stochastic Local Search for Scheduling for Minimum Total Tardiness"
BSc Honour's Thesis Supervised by Holger Hoos Full Text (AI 2003 version)
Abstract: The multi-processor total tardiness problem (MPTTP) is an NP-hard
scheduling problem, in which the goal is to minimise the tardiness of a set of
jobs that are processed on a number of processors. Exact algorithms like branch
and bound have proven to be impractical for the MPTTP, leaving stochastic local
search (SLS) algorithms as the main alternative to find high-quality schedules.
Among the available SLS techniques, iterated local search (ILS) has been shown
to be an effective algorithm for the single processor case. Here we extend this
technique to the multi-processor case, but our computational results indicate that
ILS performance is not fully satisfying. To enhance ILS performance, we consider
the use of population-based ILS extensions. Our final experimental results
show that the usage of a population of search trajectories yields a more robust
algorithm capable of finding best known solutions to difficult instances more reliably
than a single ILS trajectory.
OTHER INTERESTS:
When not in the office I like to spend time with my wife Joanne and our little youngster Emily. When they're too busy I turn to bicycles and woodworking.
